Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.183053 0.205217 0.228352 0.254246 0.282363 0.311913 0.345260
2025-02-09 0.153555 0.183685 0.216671 0.255272 0.299009 0.346828 0.402862
2025-02-16 0.133933 0.169495 0.210050 0.259310 0.317095 0.382303 0.460999
2025-02-23 0.121211 0.161238 0.208543 0.267864 0.339514 0.422504 0.525093
2025-03-02 0.105790 0.147803 0.199209 0.265667 0.348166 0.446053 0.569731
2025-03-09 0.094160 0.137710 0.192733 0.265854 0.358869 0.471599 0.616757
2025-03-16 0.083727 0.128010 0.185702 0.264395 0.366800 0.493349 0.659139
2025-03-23 0.077486 0.123235 0.184473 0.269910 0.383275 0.525697 0.714998
2025-03-30 0.070153 0.116191 0.179537 0.269942 0.392238 0.548385 0.758871
2025-04-06 0.063610 0.109630 0.174670 0.269532 0.400223 0.569640 0.801025
2025-04-13 0.057814 0.103613 0.170050 0.268992 0.407691 0.590074 0.842229
2025-04-20 0.053524 0.099483 0.167776 0.271436 0.419043 0.615634 0.890399
2025-04-27 0.050870 0.097869 0.169303 0.279663 0.439091 0.653912 0.957126
2025-05-04 0.046675 0.093376 0.166178 0.280879 0.449217 0.678942 1.006666
2025-05-11 0.043637 0.090518 0.165321 0.285288 0.463875 0.710361 1.065334
2025-05-18 0.041937 0.089783 0.167683 0.294532 0.485657 0.751981 1.138573
2025-05-25 0.037961 0.084659 0.162674 0.292184 0.490298 0.769666 1.179194
2025-06-01 0.034872 0.080827 0.159479 0.292396 0.498562 0.792447 1.227099
2025-06-08 0.031748 0.076613 0.155340 0.290831 0.503965 0.811108 1.269420
2025-06-15 0.030187 0.075250 0.155921 0.296771 0.520792 0.846375 1.335561
2025-06-22 0.027792 0.071994 0.152996 0.296807 0.528459 0.868416 1.383222
2025-06-29 0.025533 0.068776 0.149907 0.296367 0.535258 0.889194 1.429290
2025-07-06 0.023449 0.065699 0.146854 0.295786 0.541711 0.909465 1.474828